造福社会影响文明你不必与科技为敌

2014-10-28 11:49:15来源：网络

　　Every one of today’s smartphones has thousands oftimes more processing power than the computersthat guided astronauts to the moon. And if Moore’slaw – the theory that computing capacity doublesroughly every two years – continues to be accurate,tomorrow’s computers will be even stronger.

　　与当年指导宇航员登月的计算机相比，今天每一部智能手机的数据处理能力都要胜出几千倍。如果摩尔定律依旧准确，未来计算机将更加强大。根据摩尔定律，计算能力大约每两年增加一倍。

　　But Americans today dream less often of feats that computers will help us to accomplish;more and more we have nightmares about computers taking away our jobs. The optimism thatmany felt in the 1960s over labour-saving technology is giving way to a fearful question: willyour labour be good for anything in the future? Or will you be replaced by a machine?

　　但今日的美国人较少再幻想计算机将帮人类实现丰功伟绩，而是越来越恐惧计算机将夺走我们的工作。20世纪60年代时，许多人对节省人力的技术抱持乐观态度，而今这种乐观已让位于一个可怕的问题：你的劳动在未来有利用价值吗?或者是，你会被机器取代吗?

　　Fear of replacement is not new. Fifteen years ago American workers were worried aboutcompetition from cheaper Mexican substitutes. In 1992 US presidential candidate Ross Perotpredicted that a “giant sucking sound” would be heard along the country’s southern border assoon as the North American Free Trade Agreement was signed.

　　这种害怕被取代的情绪并不新鲜。15年前，美国工人曾担心来自墨西哥廉价劳力的竞争。1992年美国总统候选人罗斯•佩罗(Ross Perot)曾预言，一旦《北美自由贸易协定》(North American Free TradeAgreement)签订，那么沿着美国南部边境，人们将听到一个“巨大的吮吸声”。

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